LNG market

The major energy surprises of 2019 | 16 Dec, 2019

As has become tradition, our last article before the Christmas break reviews the major surprises for the year. We do this review in two parts. Firs ...

Valuing European LNG regas capacity | 04 Nov, 2019

European regas capacity is back & flashing on the commercial radar screen. The obvious explanation for this is a jump in terminal utilisation over ...

Charter rate surge shakes LNG market | 28 Oct, 2019

LNG vessel spot charter rates have exploded since late September. If you are not in the business of chartering boats you may be tempted by an obvious ...

LNG market evolution in 5 charts | 21 Oct, 2019

Several key structural market trends are reshaping the way that LNG is transacted. The US has emerged as a key provider of destination flexible sup ...

Gaining an edge: LNG portfolio analysis | 07 Oct, 2019

Commercial evolution of the LNG market has accelerated over the last three years. This is the result of new and more flexible sources of supply.  But ...

Inter-market shock roils power, TTF & JKM | 16 Sep, 2019

In our snapshot column last week we flagged a huge rally in power & gas forward curves. The move was driven by three announcements that surprised ...

Asian LNG demand stalls in H1 2019 | 26 Aug, 2019

For several years we have framed the evolution of the LNG market supply & demand balance around one key driver: Asian demand growth. The ability o ...

Will European gas prices recover or ‘snowplough’? | 15 Jul, 2019

Time for a simple thought experiment.  If you had a ‘one shot’ chance to gaze into a crystal ball and see the evolution of one energy market driv ...

Russia, LNG & the next 3 years | 06 May, 2019

European LNG import volumes set another new record in Apr-19, following the previous record set last month. Volumes are up about 230% compared to this ...

Power sector setting gas prices in Europe | 08 Apr, 2019

Two European gas market records were broken in March. Both LNG and Russian monthly import volumes surged to their highest levels in history. This has ...

Gas prices plunge towards US LNG shut in levels | 01 Apr, 2019

Off-piste descent for gas prices TTF prices fell by more than 50% across Winter 2018-19.  No... that is not an April Fool’s joke.  The decline ...

A new wave of LNG supply is building | 18 Mar, 2019

European and Asian spot gas prices have halved across the last six months. European hub prices are currently testing the 5.0 $/mmbtu level, down from ...

Europe & Asian gas prices slump | 18 Feb, 2019

European hub prices have fallen 40% since Sep 2018. This is a substantial move over a five month period. It is even more impressive because the price ...

LNG market balance in 5 charts | 04 Feb, 2019

2018 was a year that confounded LNG market expectations of winter squeezes and summer lulls. The market was tight over summer, with Asia pulling av ...

5 energy market surprises for 2019 | 07 Jan, 2019

Welcome back to our first feature article for 2019.  As has become tradition we start the year with five surprises to watch for on your radar screens ...

European gas price rally hits reverse | 26 Nov, 2018

European hub prices doubled between July 2017 and September 2018.  50% of that move happened in Q3 2018. Through the objective barometer of market pr ...

3 key factors driving European hub prices | 22 Oct, 2018

European hub prices have roughly doubled since Summer 2017 from 5 to 10 $/mmbtu (15 to 30 €/MWh).  Half of this price move has happened in a surge ...

Global gas market risk shifting to the upside | 08 Oct, 2018

Price behaviour is the most objective barometer of market balance.  And gas prices in 2018 are signalling a tightening market. Two price moves this y ...

Carbon surge driving up TTF & spot LNG prices | 17 Sep, 2018

A carbon price surge in Europe pulling up LNG prices in China? This may sound like a case of the butterfly effect. But the current tandem rise in carb ...

European gas hub linkage to the LNG market | 27 Aug, 2018

LNG imports account for about 10% of European gas supply (~60 bcm in 2017). Remaining supply is split fairly evenly between domestic production (domin ...

European emissions: Germany in focus | 20 Aug, 2018

European carbon emissions have declined 10% over the last decade, mainly driven by a reduction in power plant emissions. Renewables have led policy ef ...

How FSRU’s are impacting LNG market evolution | 09 Jul, 2018

Floating Storage and Regasification Units (FSRU) combine the key elements of an LNG vessel and regas terminal in a single unit. This can significantly ...

LNG supply next wave: the challengers | 25 Jun, 2018

We set out the prospects of the ‘Top 5’ LNG producers club last week. Amongst these, Qatar is the only ‘sure bet’ contributor to the next wave ...

Next LNG supply wave: the 5 major players | 18 Jun, 2018

The current wave of new LNG supply consists of more than 150 mtpa of committed liquefaction projections coming online between 2015 and 2022. But consi ...

Power sector switching is driving gas hub prices | 21 May, 2018

“Everything comes back to gas prices”. It is not only direct participants in the European gas market that are concerned about the path of hub ...