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Conditional ceasefire triggers global gas repricing
A US–Iran ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz reopening rapidly strip the geopolitical risk premium from global gas markets, but fragility keeps prices well above pre-crisis levels
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Global gas pricing: consistent with de-escalation, but seasonal spreads tell a different story
Our stochastic modelling shows Summer 26 futures pricing de-escalation, although flat summer-winter spreads signal persistent disruption risk down the curve
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Middle East supply shock: managing LNG portfolio value in a volatile market
The Middle East supply shock is reshaping LNG market dynamics - we set out a case study that shows why a dynamic view of value distributions is key.
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Join our upcoming webinar “From crisis to supply wave: navigating global gas uncertainty”
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European gas seasonal spreads move back toward positive territory
Winter - Summer 2026 spreads are gradually turning positive again, driven by the market pricing in a more lasting impact from the Iranian conflict and as the EU gives verbal instruction to member states to relax gas storage mandates