Valuation that goes beyond the central case

BESS • CCGT & peakers • Hydro • Interconnectors • Co-located renewables • Electrolysers

 

Developers, owners and investors need valuations they can interrogate and defend. We quantify value under market uncertainty and imperfect foresight, revealing upside that central cases can miss and risks hidden in the tails.

 

Timera combines proprietary stochastic market models with asset-specific dispatch optimisation and senior commercial insight into how flexible asset value is captured, contracted and protected.

How we value flexible assets

Our valuations combine long-term market modelling, stochastic asset optimisation and senior commercial expertise to quantify value, test key sensitivities and show where value is captured and risk sits.

Stochastic market modelling

Pan-European stochastic power market scenarios to 2060+

Hundreds of correlated wind, solar, hydrology and commodity price paths

Global gas-to-power modelling driving price levels, shape and volatility

Full price and spread distributions, not a single central forecast

Scenario and sensitivity analysis across policy, build-out and demand

Flex asset valuation

Asset-specific dispatch optimisation across the full revenue stack

Stochastic revenue distributions (P10 / P50 / P90)

Backtesting against observed market data to ground projections

Sensitivity to availability, efficiency, flexibility and operating assumptions

Structuring and analysis of offtake and hedging contracts — floors, tolls and PPAs